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Analysis
For critical analysis of data and claims
Keywords: aliens, ancient alien theory
As you know, I've been puzzling for the past few days about what Tsoukalos could have possibly been talking about with that statement on the white paper-like substance. That in itself should tell you how much of a dumbass I am. A smart person would have just left it as is and wasted no more thought on it. But I've got this compulsion to track things down to their source and figure out exactly where the claims are coming from. And Thoukalos' statement is just begging for somebody to figure it out. I haven't found the exact source of the quote yet, but I noticed something while looking over yesterday's entry about the forum thread. What I noticed was that I made a mistake when transcribing Tsoukalos' quote. Tsoukalos actually said that "they wrote on it". I heard "they rode on it", which seemed a little strange, but then that's par for the course in this show. Once I realized my mistake, something clicked. White paper that they write on in order to generate magical effects.... that sounds like Shinto paper charms, aka Ofuda. These are usually just good luck or protection charms, but in folk tales, as well as anime, they're often used in order to perform magical feats. Sailor Mars Reporting For Pyramid Building Duty!
My guess is that he's going off of an account of a Shinto folk tale in which an Ofuda was used to move a stone. He says it moved by six feet, which sounds to me like perhaps somebody in the story wanted to move a stone away from a cave entrance or something.
I've been searching for such a story, and have found a few where Ofuda's are used to create a magical effect, but I haven't found anything that looks like it might be Tsoukalos' source yet.
But while I don't know his exact source, I feel confident that this is what he was talking about. This is the same guy, after all, who believed that the tale of King Solomon's flying carpet was actually a reference to an alien airship.
I found Tsoukalos' email address a couple of days ago and asked if he could clarify his statement. I haven't gotten any response back yet. My guess is that even he knows that this claim is weak, and doesn't want to talk about it.
If anybody knows of a folk tale that Tsoukalos could possibly be referring to, write a comment here and let me know.
Keywords: aliens, ancient alien theory
I've been looking for information about that magical white substance that Giorgio Tsoukalos mentioned. No luck yet, but I did find an interesting thread on the History Channel's online forum from a few months ago. I love the way it starts out:  I find it hilarious that this was his "only issue" with the show. Apparently, even the believers who accept all the rest of the nonsense that I've been debunking are saying "Hey Tsoukalos... what the hell, man?"
There were some nice skeptical posts in there, which is refreshing to see:

 A couple of people mentioned the possibility that the white substance could be something called "monoatomic gold". From what I can gather online, this appears to only be some sort of snake oil alternative medicine product... nothing that would grant anything like levitation abilities. Nothing else in the thread lead anywhere productive. Although one person interestingly decided to comment on Mr. Tsoukalos' physical appearance:  I'm not sure what he means by that, I thought Mr. Tsoukalos had a perfectly fine hairstyle...  Okay, so it might seem odd to some people.... but I'm sure that's just the result of the aliens beaming this knowledge directly into his brain. In any case, the final post of the thread reads: 
I would have guessed that it had more to do with "special herbs".... but what do I know?
Keywords: aliens, ancient alien theory, conspiracy, historical
It's high time I tackled another Ancient Aliens segment!  (For more context, see my first three articles here, here, and here. You can view the episode here. Also see my follow up article on the golden flyer, and my recent article about mercury vortex engines) The last three segments dealt mostly with flight, but we're finally moving away from that. Now we're talking about construction techniques, and this is the topic that I see most frequently brought up in support of Ancient Aliens theory by theorists and laypeople alike. Everybody knows that the pyramids are seriously big-ass buildings, made up of big, heavy stones. Many people wonder, if the ancient Egyptians didn't have modern machinery, how the hell did they do it?
Keywords: ancient alien theory, conspiracy
I get a lot of hits to my second Ancient Aliens article by people looking for information on mercury vortex, or mercury gyroscope, engines. In my research I've come across a very interesting webpage of an ancient alien believer who claims to have inside knowledge of mercury vortex technology and how the government is covering it up. I thought it would be interesting to take a little look. By the way, has anybody ever run into a crank webpage that isn't an example of terrible web design? I mean... a cyan background?? What kind of warped mind would come up with that and think it was a good idea?? It boggles the mind.... but I digress. My purpose in writing today is to tackle the logic and claims made. While these distortions aren't the serious sign of a warped mind that the colour scheme indicates, they're still worth some analysis. I found his story of how he personally uncovered a government cover-up to be particularly fascinating. I'll tell it here in a nutshell:
Keywords: paranormal, historical, book
Back in February I read an old book of supposedly true tales of the Paranormal called Nightmare Island:  It provided me with some good blog material, such as the title story, and the story of the Ghost Cavalry. It also provided me with an interesting story about a psychic detective that, in spite of having no details I could verify, was at least fun to talk about. Many of the rest of the tales are even more nebulous than that, and don't have even as much substance to them to warrant a full blog post. So I've decided to pick out a few of them to analyze here:
Keywords: statistics, predictions, uncertainty, randomness, book
I've talked before about how how people can be overly confident in their ability to understand the past and predict the future. A good illustration of this is a book called "The Next 100 Years" by George Friedman.  As I see it, Friedman falls into the mental trap of looking at history and seeing it's progression as inevitable. With the benefit of hindsight, it's hard to see how historical events were really uncertain and chaotic, and how the outcome really could have been different than the one that history records. From this misunderstanding he has looked through history for patterns, and whether they actually exist or not, has found them. From these supposed patterns he's projected out into the future to try and understand the forces that will shape the next century. This seems to me like a good case study to highlight the ways that smart people can fool themselves and build a case that sounds compelling, but when you examine it closely you see that it rests on very shaky ground. I read this book last year and am working off notes from an online discussion I had at the time. I want to make clear that even though I criticize the book, I did enjoy reading it. Especially the narrative of the coming war in the 2050's. He admits that the details of the war are more speculative than the other areas, though to me the rest of the book is almost as speculative. But in spite of being better suited to science fiction than anything else, it's a fantastic story. But let's look at the arguments that Mr. Friedman puts forth as the solid basis for his claims:
Keywords: randomness, uncertainty
A lot of what goes on in pseudoscience is the result of people finding patterns where none exist. I think the concept of randomness and how we can find illusory patterns in it warrants a little bit of an exploration here for anybody who hasn't thought about it. Randomness is one of the hardest things for people to understand. Even those of us who pay lip service to the role of randomness in the universe have trouble with the concept. We're just too good at seeing patterns. We see them everywhere, even when no template for the seen pattern exists. See my recent post about the nebula that looks like a hand. We typically expect anything that's random to show absolutely no pattern. We think random things should resemble an undecipherable mess. But that's not the case. Patterns in randomness are everywhere, and they can fool you more easily than you think. I performed a classic experiment by creating a computer program that draws random dots on the screen. I ran it a few times and picked my favourite examples to show you here:
Keywords: randomness, uncertainty, epistemology
A little over a year ago NASA released an interesting image of a nebula captured by the Chandra X-ray Observatory. What's interesting about this image is that it's a nice example of pareidolia. On first glance, this nebula looks remarkably like a human hand:  What I find fascinating about this image is how much of the resemblance to a human hand evaporates when you examine it closely. Much of the distinguishing features of the hand are made up of very insubstantial mist, only giving the vague impression of the shape of a hand. If you take the time to simply draw an outline around the clearest parts of the nebula, the illusion of a hand disappears altogether:  To me it now looks more like a hitchhiking moose hand puppet.
Take this as a cosmic reminder that you can easily see the illusion of a pattern in something that is essentially random.
Keywords: aliens, ancient alien theory, conspiracy, historical
You've gotta love this Ancient Aliens stuff. It's time to take a look at the third segment of this episode, where they talk about the evidence for an ancient worldwide communications network.  We might as well just label this segment "Ancient Flight Part 3", since they're just talking more about what they consider to be evidence for ancient flying ships. You can view this episode here, Each segment corresponds roughly to one of the ten minute YouTube entries. So this third segment begins in the third YouTube video, beginning at 2:57. The segment ends in the fourth video at 3:32. You can see my reviews of the first two segments here and here. So, let's get our hands dirty and look at the new claims being made here.
Keywords: study, woo, alternative medicine, acupuncture
I just came across this article on Cnet News entitled " Think Acupuncture's A Hoax? Think Again" written by freelance journalist Elizabeth Moore. For the record, I don't believe that Acupuncture is a hoax. I think that Acupuncturists are fooling themselves, but for the most part I think they actually believe in what they do. Moore claims to have previously been a skeptic of Acupuncture, and I'm sure that she had her doubts. But reading her article, it strikes me that she's way too easily swayed by weak evidence to really have employed much critical thinking here. She calls the evidence "yet another pin in the proverbial coffin for skeptics like myself:" And what is this evidence? It's simply this: A study done on mice demonstrates that a needle puncture can release a nucleoside known as Adenosine into the surrounding tissue, which may help with pain relief. Sound's pretty simple and scientifically valid, right? What could I possibly have to say against that?
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